Across Europe far right parties have made gains in the elections at the expense of mainstream parties, particularly in France and Germany.
Although the centre right European People’s Party was projected to have won the most seats, increasing their representation compared to 2019, there were solid results for hard right parties in a number of countries.
Predictions of far right and populist right gains were borne out in several cases, although the combined weight of the two main nationalist groups in the parliament was not as big as some polls predicted.
Overall, it was a good night for the centre right.
The European People’s Party, of which Fine Gael is a member, scored a projected 189 seats, an increase of 14, while the centre left socialists and democrats are on 135 seats.
The liberal group Renew, where Fianna Fáil sits, did badly, losing around 20 seats to return 80 MEPs. The Greens also slumped compared to their impressive showing in 2019.
The results so far mean that there will still be a pro-European bloc of centre right, centre left, liberal and Green MEPs of around 460 seats, but that is down from 488 in what was a smaller parliament.
The combined weight of the radical right, represented by the Identity and Democracy group, and the European Conservatives and Reformists, is now around 146 seats.
In Germany Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s social democrats were pushed into third place by the far right AfD.
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Far-right gains in the EU elections have triggered a political earthquake in France.
Across the bloc extreme right parties notched a string of high-profile wins.
They finished first in France, Italy and Austria and came second in Germany and the Netherlands, according to preliminary results.
“We will build a bastion against the extremes from the left and from the right,” vowed European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, whose centre-right European People’s Party (EPP) scored top place.
More than 360 million Europeans across 27 countries were eligible to vote to elect the 720-seat legislature.
The next parliament, and the next commission, will have to deal with Russia’s continuing war in Ukraine, global trade tensions marked by US-China rivalry, a climate emergency and the prospect of a disruptive new Donald Trump presidency.
As the EPP’s lead candidate, Ms von der Leyen wants a second mandate running the commission.
EU leaders are to start deciding whether to name her or another choice as early as 17 June, ahead of a 27-28 June summit.
Blow for Macron
In France, though, a resounding EU poll win by the far-right National Rally (RN) party of Marine Le Pen dealt such a blow to Macron that he called national legislative elections for 30 June, a month before the Paris Olympics.
“I cannot act as if nothing had happened,” he said in a national address. The French people, he said, must now make “the best choice for itself and future generations”.
The RN won 31.5% of the vote to 15% for Mr Macron’s centrist Renaissance party, according to exit polls.
“We are ready to take power if the French show trust in us,” MS Le Pen told her party, whose leader is Jordan Bardella, her 28-year-old TikTok-friendly protege.
Ms Macron himself will see through the rest of his current – and final – presidential term which ends in 2027, at which point Ms Le Pen has ambitions of succeeding him.
The French drama electrified an already charged day as votes were cast and tallied, and attention was focused on how well the far right fared in each country.
In Germany, the EU’s biggest economy, the scandal-plagued, fiercely anti-immigrant AfD party handed dismal news to Chancellor Scholz by beating his Social Democrats 16% to 14%.
The AfD – judged too extreme for Ms Le Pen, who broke off an alliance with it just before the elections – was kept in place by the opposition CDU-CSU bloc, which won 29.5%, while the Greens won 12%.
The far-right parties in the Netherlands and Belgium both also gained ground, but came up short compared with voter intentions credited to them before the elections.
In Austria, the far-right Freedom Party led the count according to exit polls, the first time the group has topped a nationwide ballot in the Alpine country.
In Italy, the ruling post-fascist Brothers of Italy of Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni did better than predicted, coming out on top with 28%.
The result made her one of the rare major European leaders to emerge strengthened from the polls.
In Hungary, almost-final results showed Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s far-right Fidesz party headed for what could be its worst score in its 14-year rule, a still substantial 44% but well down on the 52% it won in 2019.
Far-right divide
The various extreme-right parties are broken into factions in the European Parliament.
While all share anti-immigrant platforms, divisions run deep between those wanting to keep up Europe’s role helping Ukraine in its fight against Russia’s invasion, such as Ms Meloni’s party, and those leery of it, which include Le Pen’s RN.
“The voices of the extreme right and the populist right cannot be added together, this will limit their direct weight in the legislature,” Sebastien Maillard, of French think tank the Jacques Delors Institute, told AFP.
“But the brown (far-right) wave, particularly evident in France, will inevitably permeate the political climate in which the Commission will act and the majority will have to take it into account,” he added.
Provisional results from the parliament after all polls closed showed the centre-right EPP with 189 seats, the centre-left Socialists and Democrats (S&D) with 135, and the Renew Europe grouping that includes Macron’s party with 83.
The EPP registered a slight gain, while the S&D and Renew lost seats, taking into account the parliament swelling to 720 members from a previous 705 because of demographic growth in EU countries.
The two far-right groups, the ECR and ID, were respectively credited with 72 and 58 seats – proportionally roughly the same as before.
Other far-right parties, such as the AfD and Fidesz, were unaffiliated but could end up incorporating into one of the factions.
Ms Von der Leyen hailed the EPP’s result, calling the group “the anchor of stability”.
Elsewhere around Europe, Green parties appeared among the biggest losers of the night – as right-wing opponents channelled discontent into anger at the EU’s environmental push, with the Greens projected to fall to 53 seats, from more than 70 currently.
